JacobPadilla wrote:NYC-bluejay wrote:Cmon, you can’t possibly believe that mid majors aren’t harmed by this just because they can pick up some benchwarmers from P5 programs. A team of P5 washouts is not gonna be an improvement on a cohesive team of developed players. All you need to do for evidence is look at the tournament: chalk, chalk, chalk. The team of experienced juniors and seniors that have spent 3+ years playing together is not a thing anymore, because all the top players have left.
Two years ago, Furman, Princeton, FDU and FAU upset high-majors in the first round, while FAU made a Final Four and SDSU made it to the title game. Last year, Yale, Duquesne, James Madison and Oakland all upset high-majors. Colorado State was a travel call or a few tenths of a second away from making the Sweet 16 this year (with a high-major drop-down in Nique Clifford as its best player).
Going to need a bigger sample size to declare what we've seen this season as the future of the tournament and not just a one-off based on shooting variance (there were a lot of good mid-major shooting teams that just didn't hit 3s in their games this year). Is it harder with the current landscape? Sure. But the reverse flow of talent is very real, and the ability to properly identify and develop talent both from the HS ranks and out of the portal is more valuable than ever before.
A "cohesive team of developed players" in this day means the coach is capable of operating in the current state of college basketball. Which high major still playing started the season with a "cohesive" group? Today's transfer climate is a challenge for all coaches, not just mid majors. How well and how quickly you can get your group cohesive, knowing that some may be transfers, some may be freshman, and some may be in their 2nd or 3rd year in the program will determine success. I think we're considered a high major and yet, when the season started, none of us were quite sure what we had because we had so many new pieces.
Duke starts 3 freshman (albeit a generational talent included). They are cohesive now because of coaching. Half of Florida's team came from somewhere else, with little guarantees they'd be this good (ranked 21 preseason, top 4 now). Kansas, with well-publicized transfers from Michigan, Wisky, Alabama, Miss St, and South Dakota State (the only mid major transfer), was preseason #1. Even with a good coach, it just didn't happen for them.
Let's talk when this year's "chalk, chalk, chalk" happens 3 or 4 years in a row. I think a much bigger issue is the "football schools" wanting to take over the NCAAT. 29 of the 68 teams came from 3 conferences. If the "chalk, chalk, chalk" does continue in the future, is it the result of player movement or fewer opportunities for mid-major upsets?