2024-25 Season

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Re: 2024-25 Season

Postby KenoshaJay » Sun Jan 19, 2025 2:03 pm

Fedor = "Energizer Bunny" - hoping to peak at the right time.
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Re: 2024-25 Season

Postby Venturajay » Sun Jan 19, 2025 3:05 pm

The squad we had out their yesterday with the big Three playing the whole game: Neal, Kalk, and Ash can make a deep run in the tourney as their is not another player like Kalk out their from what I've watched this year. I would be surprised if Fedor sees much playing time going forward because with Mac if you aren't where your supposed to be out there on D and O you ain't playing.

If we get the right match up's in the tourney this team will surprise many in my humble opinion, we are much better then our record as we are learning to play without Pop and Kalk has been reborn. Mac has won 8 tourney games in the last four years, we have a sustained program year in and year out with high expectations each year. Go Jays!!!
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Re: 2024-25 Season

Postby JacobPadilla » Sun Jan 19, 2025 4:32 pm

Venturajay wrote:The squad we had out their yesterday with the big Three playing the whole game: Neal, Kalk, and Ash can make a deep run in the tourney as their is not another player like Kalk out their from what I've watched this year. I would be surprised if Fedor sees much playing time going forward because with Mac if you aren't where your supposed to be out there on D and O you ain't playing.

If we get the right match up's in the tourney this team will surprise many in my humble opinion, we are much better then our record as we are learning to play without Pop and Kalk has been reborn. Mac has won 8 tourney games in the last four years, we have a sustained program year in and year out with high expectations each year. Go Jays!!!


Mac is going to continue to get Fedor opportunities in games. He said himself they're going to need Fedor to be a factor to reach their ceiling, but he's not going to risk short-term success when they need it for the potential long-term gain. UConn is a game where every single possession matters. There will be lower-stakes opportunities to get Fedor run like we saw against Providence.
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Re: 2024-25 Season

Postby SonofFrankTomera » Mon Jan 20, 2025 12:22 am

TrueBlueJay wrote:I have zero problem with FZ not playing at UCONN - coach was coaching to win and win we did. Hard Stop.


Hard ok TBJ, hard ok.
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Re: 2024-25 Season

Postby cu8493 » Mon Jan 20, 2025 9:27 am

IMO, we now have three pillars, Ashworth, Kalkbrenner and Neal. Each game will go as these three go. We can win with one of the three struggling with a subpar scoring/ball-security game, but only if the other two have above average games. We can’t win without at least two of those three playing well. The rest of the team will likely provide in some combinations, 10-15 points and sufficient defense/ rebounding for us to win when we have at least a couple of the three playing well, but I don’t think any of them can carry the day if two of Ashworth, Kalkbrenner and Neal are struggling to score. And when all three play well, Katie bar the door.
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Re: 2024-25 Season

Postby cr8onbb » Mon Jan 20, 2025 2:50 pm

Nice to see the Jays getting votes in both polls this week. A long way from where things were a couple weeks ago!
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Re: 2024-25 Season

Postby SeattleJay » Mon Jan 20, 2025 11:42 pm

Kenpom has our strength of schedule at 7.

The Georgetown win at Nova probably helped us move up a couple of spots.

I don’t think we get enough credit for a tough schedule.
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Re: 2024-25 Season

Postby FreddyMac » Tue Jan 21, 2025 1:38 pm

SeattleJay wrote:Kenpom has our strength of schedule at 7.

The Georgetown win at Nova probably helped us move up a couple of spots.

I don’t think we get enough credit for a tough schedule.


I have no idea how they come up with some of these rankings. Ohio State is 8 spots higher than us in the NET. They are 10-8 and we're 12-6. We're 3-4 against quad 1 and 3-2 against quad 2. They are 2-6 against quad 1 and 1-2 against quad 2. Neither have losses against quad 3 or 4. Pittsburgh has our same record and is worse in quad 1 and quad 2 but is 11 spots higher. There has to be some calculation in there that somehow makes these make sense??
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Re: 2024-25 Season

Postby UncleBillyJ » Tue Jan 21, 2025 2:05 pm

FreddyMac wrote:
SeattleJay wrote:Kenpom has our strength of schedule at 7.

The Georgetown win at Nova probably helped us move up a couple of spots.

I don’t think we get enough credit for a tough schedule.


I have no idea how they come up with some of these rankings. Ohio State is 8 spots higher than us in the NET. They are 10-8 and we're 12-6. We're 3-4 against quad 1 and 3-2 against quad 2. They are 2-6 against quad 1 and 1-2 against quad 2. Neither have losses against quad 3 or 4. Pittsburgh has our same record and is worse in quad 1 and quad 2 but is 11 spots higher. There has to be some calculation in there that somehow makes these make sense??


I believe the missing part of this equation is how "big" they win and lose games. Somehow were also right there with BYU on NET I believe, despite very different Q1 and Q2 records. Unfortunately, it would appear our losses aren't looking great in hindsight and our wing (notable against UTRGV) were way too close.
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Re: 2024-25 Season

Postby WBR Tom » Tue Jan 21, 2025 3:04 pm

FreddyMac wrote:
SeattleJay wrote:Kenpom has our strength of schedule at 7.

The Georgetown win at Nova probably helped us move up a couple of spots.

I don’t think we get enough credit for a tough schedule.


I have no idea how they come up with some of these rankings. Ohio State is 8 spots higher than us in the NET. They are 10-8 and we're 12-6. We're 3-4 against quad 1 and 3-2 against quad 2. They are 2-6 against quad 1 and 1-2 against quad 2. Neither have losses against quad 3 or 4. Pittsburgh has our same record and is worse in quad 1 and quad 2 but is 11 spots higher. There has to be some calculation in there that somehow makes these make sense??


NET takes into account schedule, game location, net offensive and defensive efficiency, and the quality of wins and losses.

Ohio State is ranked four spots higher than CU in AdjOE and five spots higher in AdjDE, so they're higher in the NET despite similar records.

Pitt is 25 spots higher in AdjOE (but 20 spots lower in AdjDE). In their case, they're higher in the NET because all of Pitt's non-con wins were by 10+, and some by a lot more -- except for one (ironically, Ohio State). Ohio State, too, took care of business in the non-con.

CU's metrics are good in some areas (SOS, Q1/Q2 wins) and bad in others (they messed around and almost lost to UTRGV, barely beat Notre Dame and lost to Nebraska.)
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