by Bluejay Bilas » Tue Mar 27, 2012 1:11 pm
Based on other comments, not the premium article:
I sort of agree with the cut our losses comment. Although, if we have any chance, or like our chances with one or two of his Eagles teammates, it probably doesn’t hurt to keep him close.
I think there is some truth to the idea that any talented high school kid wants to talk about non-local and non-regional prospects. Surely, that’s especially true with someone who is being touted as the best Omaha prospect in years. Plus, UNL and CU offers presumably carry very little weight among the top-level AAU guys.
With respect to the UNC game, the UNC team that beat us by 14 had more NBA talent than the entire B1G, and more than any Big East school, by far. UNC also had more NBA talent on that one team than UNL has had in its history. At times, the talent gap between CU and UNC was pretty obvious, especially in terms of length and speed. But, echoing another comment in this thread, the game they played probably would have beaten all but 1 or 2 of the teams in the tournament, if not all of them. Nonetheless, had our shots been falling, and had we taken fewer shots with their bigs in prime defensive position, we would have had some chance at the upset. So, it would be ridiculous if Agau actually had some sort of epiphany during that game. I sense that he’s never had any intention of playing for CU, so it’s probably just a combination of him explaining his reasoning about wanting to play in a power six conference, being asked leading questions, and Callahan looking for red meat to feed to the Husker fans.
As for UConn, that program could be looking at a fairly seismic long-term decline, the likes of which are not seen that often in major college sports (like Georgetown post-Iverson and pre-JT3, but bigger): No tournament eligibility for a year; A good chance of at least Lamb and Drummond declaring for the NBA, which when added to the transfer of Oriakhi, makes their short-term prospects seem poor; Calhoun unlikely to be around for much longer; Negative changes to the Big East. The Huskies very well might prove me wrong, but things look bleak to me. Whatever the case, I’m sure several coaches will use these issues to paint a negative picture of UConn hoops to his family and him.
As for the Huskers, it would be strange if he did not say things that were favorable to the local state school. Mike Gesell said plenty of things to give both local fanbases some hope prior to his Senior year. That is what seems to happen with virtually every big recruit. And I am sure that if Matt P. interviewed Agau this afternoon, Agau would say enough good things about CU to allow Matt to write the Bluejays equivalent of Callahan’s piece. An recruiting fluff article changes nothing about the myriad drawbacks to UNL from a high school star's point of view. Also, as is likely true with UConn, I’d be surprised if some recruiters did not highlight these negatives when trying to pry him out of the state. With respect to the Husker Hoops Central guys, they badly want the Nee days to return, and would love to beat Creighton at something other than the occasional game at the Bob. Agau to Nebraska would be a major victory to them, regardless of what he does on the court.
If Agau is as good as advertised, he’ll get much more attention this summer. If his dream school is UConn, there is probably a zero percent chance he’ll end up at CU or UNL, and a good chance he'll commit to a mid to upper tier team in the B1G, Big 12 or Big East.
I get that kids want exposure and are told that playing in a tough conference will help their professional chances, but insofar as that has ever been true, it is not today. If you have any skills, have an NBA body, and play organized ball anywhere in the world, the NBA will find you. Frankly, a decent argument could be made that playing in the MVC or A-10 gives you at least as good of a chance to in The League as playing in a power-six conference, since you’ll almost certainly have an easier time shining in the former. For example, had Jimmer played for Syracuse, it is unlikely that he would have done enough in college to become a lottery pick. For taller guys, think Adam Morrison, Adonal Foyle, or even Patrick O'Bryant.